The numbers
51 of 51: every state and D.C. moved toward Trump in 2024
New York moved most at 10.5 points. Even Washington, the smallest shift, moved 1.0.
51 shown
- New YorkR +10.5
- New JerseyR +10.0
- FloridaR +9.7
- CaliforniaR +9.0
- MassachusettsR +8.3
- TexasR +8.1
- Rhode IslandR +7.0
- TennesseeR +6.5
- HawaiiR +6.4
- MississippiR +6.3
- South CarolinaR +6.2
- IllinoisR +6.1
- ArizonaR +5.8
- IdahoR +5.7
- ConnecticutR +5.6
- NevadaR +5.5
- IowaR +5.0
- AlabamaR +5.0
- New MexicoR +4.8
- MarylandR +4.7
- KentuckyR +4.6
- New HampshireR +4.6
- VirginiaR +4.3
- DelawareR +4.3
- MichiganR +4.2
- VermontR +3.9
- MontanaR +3.6
- LouisianaR +3.4
- OhioR +3.2
- North DakotaR +3.1
- AlaskaR +3.1
- South DakotaR +3.0
- MissouriR +3.0
- ArkansasR +3.0
- District of ColumbiaR +2.9
- West VirginiaR +2.9
- IndianaR +2.9
- MinnesotaR +2.9
- PennsylvaniaR +2.9
- ColoradoR +2.5
- GeorgiaR +2.4
- WyomingR +2.4
- MaineR +2.1
- North CarolinaR +1.9
- OregonR +1.8
- WisconsinR +1.5
- KansasR +1.5
- NebraskaR +1.4
- OklahomaR +1.2
- UtahR +1.1
- WashingtonR +1.0
Why it matters
A uniform swing means a national mood mattered more than local campaigns. Two years later Democrats flipped seats across many of the same states, so neither shift is permanent.
How we counted
Republican minus Democratic margin in 2024 minus the same margin in 2020, as a share of all votes in each state.