The numbers
Democrats flipped 7 Senate seats. 6 were in states Trump won.
Two years earlier Trump carried South Carolina by 17.9 points. In 2026 a Democrat won its Senate race, according to race calls.
- South CarolinaR +17.9
- KansasR +16.1
- TexasR +13.7
- IowaR +13.2
- OhioR +11.2
- North CarolinaR +3.2
- MaineD +6.9
Why it matters
A presidential margin does not transfer automatically. Candidates, turnout and midterm mood all move these races, which is why a Trump state can elect a Democrat. It says little yet about 2028.
How we counted
Bars show the 2024 presidential margin in each state where a Democrat flipped a Republican Senate seat in 2026. Winners are news-organization race calls.