2028 election map: 538 electoral votes, 270 to win, voting on Nov 7, 2028
The starting line is 2024: the margins below are what each party must defend or overturn. This is a baseline, not a forecast.
Seven battlegrounds to watch
These seven decided 2024. No one yet knows which will matter in 2028, and 2026 suggests the map can move.
| State | Electoral votes | 2024 margin |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 11 | R +5.5 |
| Georgia | 16 | R +2.2 |
| Michigan | 15 | R +1.4 |
| Nevada | 6 | R +3.1 |
| North Carolina | 16 | R +3.2 |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | R +1.7 |
| Wisconsin | 10 | R +0.9 |