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ChartsThe midterm curse: the president’s party gained House seats just 3 times in 92 yearsChartsDemocrats flipped 7 Senate seats. 6 were in states Trump won.Charts229,766 votes in three states decided the 2024 electionCharts312 electoral votes looked like a landslide. The popular vote gap was 1.5 points.ChartsA Wyoming vote carries 3.3× the Electoral College weight of a California voteCharts51 of 51: every state and D.C. moved toward Trump in 2024ChartsTrump swept all seven swing states. Only Arizona topped 5 points.ChartsRed and blue states ranked: only 8 of 51 were within 5 pointsCharts42 states never flipped. Just 9 decided four elections.ChartsYoung Americans are 15× likelier than seniors to get political news mainly from social mediaChartsJust 8% of Republicans trust the news media. Among Democrats it is 51%.ChartsFacebook still beats TikTok 2 to 1 as a news sourceAnswersDid Democrats win the House in 2026?AnswersWho will control the Senate in 2027?AnswersWhich states flipped in the 2026 midterms?AnswersWhen was Texas last blue?AnswersWhat are the 7 swing states?AnswersDoes the president’s party always lose seats in midterms?AnswersHow many electoral votes does it take to win?AnswersHow many electoral votes does each state have?AnswersWhen is the next presidential election?AnswersWhich Senate seats are up in 2028?AnswersWhat is the difference between called and certified results?AnswersWho won the 2024 popular vote?AnswersWhen does the new Congress start?AnswersHow can you tell if a state is red or blue?The White HouseThe road to the White House in 2028Border & immigrationImmigration and the 2028 electionEconomy & inflationReading the economy during an electionVoters & turnoutYoung voters: registration and turnoutAI & jobsAI, jobs and technology policyElection administrationUnderstanding U.S. election results
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GDP growth

Economic growth under every president: the scoreboard both parties cherry-pick

Pick the right start year and either party looks brilliant. Here are all of them, so nobody gets to choose.

real growth per year · December 2025
2.2%
vs. a year ago
−0.6 pts
Record high · December 1984
7.2%
Record low · December 2009
-2.6%

The whole story, month by month

JohnsonNixonCarterReaganG.H.W. BushClintonG.W. BushObamaTrump IBiden-5%-2.5%0%2.5%5%7.5%19651970197519801985199019952000200520102015202020257.2%

Democrats vs. Republicans

Democrats3.4%average in office, over 31 years and 6 presidencies
Republicans2.6%average in office, over 33 years and 7 presidencies

Both sides have a chart to wave

The Democrats' best card

Johnson 5.1%

From 6.1% to 4.8%, December 1962 to December 1968.

The chart they hide: Obama 1.7%

The Republicans' best card

Nixon 3.5%

From 4.8% to 5.7%, December 1968 to December 1973.

The chart they hide: Trump I 1.5%

Every president, ranked

Average while in office. Best to worst.

  1. Johnson5.1%
  2. Kennedy4.2%
  3. Clinton3.9%
  4. Biden3.6%
  5. Nixon3.5%
  6. Reagan3.5%
  7. Carter3.3%
  8. G.H.W. Bush2.2%
  9. G.W. Bush2.2%
  10. Trump II (so far)2.2%
  11. Obama1.7%
  12. Ford1.5%
  13. Trump I1.5%

Why this number starts fights

GDP is the widest measure of the economy, and also the easiest to cherry-pick. Presidents inherit booms and recessions, and new policies take time to work. Annual World Bank figures smooth out quarters that campaigns love to quote. Average growth alone also says nothing about who received the gains.

How to read it without getting played

No president controls this number alone. Congress, the Federal Reserve, global markets, wars, pandemics and the economy they inherited all move it. A term's score shows what happened on their watch, not what they caused. Anyone who tells you otherwise is selling a side.

Method: average of all readings during each term. The party figure weights each term by its length.

More numbers people fight about

Show the yearly table
GDP growth: last reading of each year
YearValue
20252.2%
20242.8%
20232.9%
20222.5%
20216.2%
2020-2.1%
20192.6%
20183.0%
20172.5%
20161.8%
20153.0%
20142.5%
20132.1%
20122.3%
20111.6%
20102.7%
2009-2.6%
20080.1%
20072.0%
20062.8%
20053.5%
20043.9%
20032.8%
20021.7%
20011.0%
20004.1%
19994.8%
19984.5%
19974.5%
19963.8%
19952.7%
19944.0%
19932.8%
19923.5%
1991-0.1%
19901.9%
19893.7%
19884.2%
19873.5%
19863.5%
19854.2%
19847.2%
19834.6%
1982-1.8%
19812.5%
1980-0.3%
19793.2%
19785.5%
19774.6%
19765.4%
1975-0.2%
1974-0.5%
19735.7%
19725.3%
19713.3%
19700.2%
19693.1%
19684.8%
19672.5%
19666.5%
19656.4%
19645.8%
19634.4%
19626.1%
19612.3%