The Democrats' best card
Johnson 5.1%
From 6.1% to 4.8%, December 1962 to December 1968.
The chart they hide: Obama 1.7%
U.S. elections. Original sources.
AI illustrationGDP growth
Pick the right start year and either party looks brilliant. Here are all of them, so nobody gets to choose.
Johnson 5.1%
From 6.1% to 4.8%, December 1962 to December 1968.
The chart they hide: Obama 1.7%
Nixon 3.5%
From 4.8% to 5.7%, December 1968 to December 1973.
The chart they hide: Trump I 1.5%
Average while in office. Best to worst.
GDP is the widest measure of the economy, and also the easiest to cherry-pick. Presidents inherit booms and recessions, and new policies take time to work. Annual World Bank figures smooth out quarters that campaigns love to quote. Average growth alone also says nothing about who received the gains.
No president controls this number alone. Congress, the Federal Reserve, global markets, wars, pandemics and the economy they inherited all move it. A term's score shows what happened on their watch, not what they caused. Anyone who tells you otherwise is selling a side.
Method: average of all readings during each term. The party figure weights each term by its length.
| Year | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.2% |
| 2024 | 2.8% |
| 2023 | 2.9% |
| 2022 | 2.5% |
| 2021 | 6.2% |
| 2020 | -2.1% |
| 2019 | 2.6% |
| 2018 | 3.0% |
| 2017 | 2.5% |
| 2016 | 1.8% |
| 2015 | 3.0% |
| 2014 | 2.5% |
| 2013 | 2.1% |
| 2012 | 2.3% |
| 2011 | 1.6% |
| 2010 | 2.7% |
| 2009 | -2.6% |
| 2008 | 0.1% |
| 2007 | 2.0% |
| 2006 | 2.8% |
| 2005 | 3.5% |
| 2004 | 3.9% |
| 2003 | 2.8% |
| 2002 | 1.7% |
| 2001 | 1.0% |
| 2000 | 4.1% |
| 1999 | 4.8% |
| 1998 | 4.5% |
| 1997 | 4.5% |
| 1996 | 3.8% |
| 1995 | 2.7% |
| 1994 | 4.0% |
| 1993 | 2.8% |
| 1992 | 3.5% |
| 1991 | -0.1% |
| 1990 | 1.9% |
| 1989 | 3.7% |
| 1988 | 4.2% |
| 1987 | 3.5% |
| 1986 | 3.5% |
| 1985 | 4.2% |
| 1984 | 7.2% |
| 1983 | 4.6% |
| 1982 | -1.8% |
| 1981 | 2.5% |
| 1980 | -0.3% |
| 1979 | 3.2% |
| 1978 | 5.5% |
| 1977 | 4.6% |
| 1976 | 5.4% |
| 1975 | -0.2% |
| 1974 | -0.5% |
| 1973 | 5.7% |
| 1972 | 5.3% |
| 1971 | 3.3% |
| 1970 | 0.2% |
| 1969 | 3.1% |
| 1968 | 4.8% |
| 1967 | 2.5% |
| 1966 | 6.5% |
| 1965 | 6.4% |
| 1964 | 5.8% |
| 1963 | 4.4% |
| 1962 | 6.1% |
| 1961 | 2.3% |